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Red16
5859.0
347316.3
545119.3
Blue76
513411.8
81220.9
542921.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40390102030506070801676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5451
#13
19.31.8
18.216.4
Auto0.6
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 2.1
5429
#21
21.42.7
17.320.0
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Second
3473
#15
16.31.2
16.215.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 4.6
812
#25
20.92.7
15.017.7
Auto-1.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
585
#42
9.01.2
5.34.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5134
#37
11.81.7
9.411.1
Auto1.2
Teleop10.6
End0.0