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Red65
166118.8
357717.5
68721.5
Blue92
301118.0
125133.7
300928.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437001001502006592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#16
21.50.8
19.420.2
Auto1.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 12.2
33.71.2
26.928.1
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
1661
#26
18.80.8
17.117.9
Auto0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 9.4
3009
#10
28.21.2
25.826.9
Auto0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Third
3577
#20
17.51.2
12.713.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3011
#28
18.01.2
15.917.1
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0