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Red64
300928.2
546316.7
530616.7
Blue92
357717.5
59722.3
542921.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352203040607080906492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#10
28.20.8
26.927.8
Auto0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 5.9
597
#27
22.31.8
22.123.9
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
5463
#32
16.71.2
13.014.2
Auto0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 4.6
5429
#21
21.42.6
20.022.6
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
5306
#35
16.71.2
13.614.8
Auto1.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 0.8
3577
#20
17.52.6
13.916.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0