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Qual 582015 Las Vegas Regional
Red41
182829.9
479213.3
68721.5
Blue8
544514.7
166118.8
513411.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6840050100150418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1828
#6
29.91.2
27.6→26.4
Auto0.3
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 11.1
1661
#26
18.81.9
17.9→16.0
Auto0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
687
#16
21.51.2
20.2→18.9
Auto1.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
red by 6.8
5445
#29
14.72.7
17.0→14.3
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
4792
#36
13.31.2
18.2→16.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 1.5
5134
#37
11.81.9
11.1→9.2
Auto1.2
Teleop10.6
End0.0