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Red30
349528.0
59722.3
519924.7
Blue14
479213.3
203421.7
298413.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions804801001502003014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3495
#19
28.02.4
27.725.3
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 6.2
2034
#17
21.71.9
24.222.3
Auto2.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Second
24.73.2
26.623.4
Auto1.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 11.0
2984
#30
13.71.9
13.811.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
597
#27
22.32.4
23.921.5
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 8.9
4792
#36
13.31.4
16.915.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0