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Red108
98776.2
546316.7
98811.4
Blue149
247824.3
14885.2
301922.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84125050100150200250300350108149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
76.20.7
68.969.6
Auto6.8
Teleop69.4
End0.0
blue by 9.0
148
#1
85.21.3
75.977.1
Auto8.8
Teleop76.5
End0.0
Second
5463
#32
16.70.9
14.215.2
Auto0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 7.6
2478
#24
24.31.3
27.128.4
Auto0.8
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
988
#39
11.40.9
10.811.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 10.7
3019
#23
22.21.3
20.221.5
Auto1.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0