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Red25
116022.7
50490.2
530616.7
Blue56
68721.5
544514.7
501211.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314101001502002502556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#22
22.70.1
23.623.4
Auto0.4
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 1.3
687
#16
21.50.7
18.919.7
Auto1.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Second
5306
#35
16.70.2
14.814.6
Auto1.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 2.0
5445
#29
14.71.0
14.315.2
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
5049
#40
0.20.2
-4.5-4.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.2
End0.0
blue by 11.8
5012
#41
11.90.7
8.08.7
Auto0.8
Teleop11.1
End0.0