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Red68
479213.3
81220.9
301118.0
Blue122
530616.7
330946.5
545119.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5071010015020025068122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#25
20.90.8
20.921.7
Auto-1.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 25.6
46.52.6
39.742.3
Auto7.0
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Second
3011
#28
18.00.7
18.319.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5451
#13
19.33.2
15.718.9
Auto0.6
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
4792
#36
13.30.7
15.516.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 3.3
5306
#35
16.73.2
14.617.7
Auto1.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0