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Red39
544514.7
347316.3
414117.4
Blue52
247824.3
450125.6
542921.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions408201001502003952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4141
#11
17.40.2
16.216.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 8.2
25.61.3
26.224.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
3473
#15
16.30.2
16.816.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 8.0
2478
#24
24.31.3
28.427.0
Auto0.8
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
5445
#29
14.70.2
15.215.0
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 6.7
5429
#21
21.41.6
24.122.4
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0