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Red158
14885.2
300928.2
59722.3
Blue144
513411.8
84231.9
98776.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12797050150200250158144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
85.21.5
77.178.7
Auto8.8
Teleop76.5
End0.0
red by 9.0
987
#2
76.21.9
69.671.6
Auto6.8
Teleop69.4
End0.0
Second
3009
#10
28.21.5
28.730.2
Auto0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
blue by 3.7
842
#9
31.91.9
26.928.8
Auto4.2
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Third
597
#27
22.31.5
21.523.0
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 10.5
5134
#37
11.81.9
8.710.6
Auto1.2
Teleop10.6
End0.0