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Red0
247824.3
441517.7
479213.3
Blue40
301118.0
530616.7
542921.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60570204080100040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#24
24.32.8
27.024.3
Auto0.8
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 2.9
5429
#21
21.41.1
22.421.4
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Second
4415
#38DQ
17.72.8
18.615.8
Auto0.8
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3011
#28
18.01.0
19.018.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
4792
#36
13.32.8
16.113.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 3.3
5306
#35
16.71.1
17.716.7
Auto1.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0