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Red38
81220.9
450125.6
441517.7
Blue83
546316.7
50490.2
6057.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54523040607080903883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.7
17.116.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 31.8
60
#3
57.41.4
40.441.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop57.9
End0.0
Second
812
#25
20.91.0
19.418.4
Auto-1.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 4.2
5463
#32
16.72.4
7.49.7
Auto0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
4415
#38DQ
17.70.7
19.418.6
Auto0.8
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 17.5
5049
#40
0.22.4
6.58.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.2
End0.0