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Red34
203421.7
34122.4
545119.3
Blue48
247824.3
300928.2
166118.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407801001502002503448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#33
22.40.7
18.517.9
Auto0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 5.8
3009
#10
28.21.5
29.728.2
Auto0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Second
2034
#17
21.71.1
11.810.7
Auto2.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0
blue by 2.6
2478
#24
24.31.3
27.426.1
Auto0.8
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
5451
#13
19.31.1
16.815.7
Auto0.6
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 0.5
1661
#26
18.81.6
17.615.9
Auto0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0