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Red140
115645.6
32942.8
412220.9
Blue114
179626.1
27129.4
28734.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088150150200250140114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.5
45.045.5
Auto1.6
Teleop44.0
End0.0
red by 10.9
287
#17
34.70.4
33.934.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Second
329
#2
42.80.5
42.242.8
Auto7.6
Teleop35.2
End0.0
red by 13.4
271
#10
29.40.4
28.629.0
Auto0.7
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
4122
#20
20.90.5
20.420.9
Auto1.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 5.2
1796
#18
26.10.4
25.325.8
Auto0.6
Teleop25.5
End0.0