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Red180
26356.3
169052.6
60111.8
Blue138
395027.8
317147.8
313727.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11882050100150200250180138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#4
56.31.1
55.056.0
Auto0.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 8.5
47.80.8
44.445.2
Auto0.5
Teleop47.3
End0.0
Second
52.61.1
51.352.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.9
End0.0
red by 24.8
3950
#21
27.81.1
23.224.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Third
601
#45
11.81.4
10.111.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 15.3
3137
#24
27.11.1
22.623.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.2
End0.0