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Red130
26356.3
169052.6
60111.8
Blue52
263827.6
509923.7
260120.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11662010015020025013052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#4
56.30.3
53.553.8
Auto0.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 28.7
2638
#14
27.60.5
27.727.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
52.60.3
49.850.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.9
End0.0
red by 28.9
5099
#11
23.70.5
23.823.4
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
601
#45
11.80.4
8.18.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 9.0
2601
#16
20.90.3
20.920.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0