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Red138
115645.6
32942.8
412220.9
Blue73
179626.1
27129.4
28734.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109835015020013873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.5
45.546.0
Auto1.6
Teleop44.0
End0.0
red by 10.9
287
#17
34.70.3
34.534.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Second
329
#2
42.80.5
42.843.2
Auto7.6
Teleop35.2
End0.0
red by 13.4
271
#10
29.40.3
29.228.9
Auto0.7
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
4122
#20
20.90.5
20.921.4
Auto1.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 5.2
1796
#18
26.10.3
26.025.7
Auto0.6
Teleop25.5
End0.0