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Red122
26356.3
169052.6
60111.8
Blue100
179626.1
27129.4
28734.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11381050100150200250122100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#4
56.30.2
53.854.0
Auto0.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 21.6
287
#17
34.70.2
34.334.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Second
52.60.2
50.150.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.9
End0.0
red by 23.2
271
#10
29.40.2
29.029.2
Auto0.7
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
601
#45
11.80.2
8.58.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 14.3
1796
#18
26.10.2
25.825.9
Auto0.6
Teleop25.5
End0.0