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Red114
115645.6
32942.8
412220.9
Blue81
263827.6
509923.7
260120.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11361010015020025011481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.1
45.545.6
Auto1.6
Teleop44.0
End0.0
red by 18.0
2638
#14
27.60.4
27.327.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
329
#2
42.80.1
42.842.9
Auto7.6
Teleop35.2
End0.0
red by 19.1
5099
#11
23.70.4
23.423.7
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
4122
#20
20.90.1
20.921.0
Auto1.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 0.1
2601
#16
20.90.3
20.620.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0