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Red84
115645.6
32942.8
412220.9
Blue189
26356.3
169052.6
60111.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105118020030040050084189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.4
46.045.6
Auto1.6
Teleop44.0
End0.0
blue by 10.7
263
#4
56.31.2
56.057.2
Auto0.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
329
#2
42.80.4
43.242.8
Auto7.6
Teleop35.2
End0.0
blue by 9.8
52.61.2
52.353.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.9
End0.0
Third
4122
#20
20.90.4
21.420.9
Auto1.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 9.1
601
#45
11.81.5
11.513.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0