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Red101
565930.7
317147.8
88420.3
Blue30
175111.2
87023.8
2813.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595720408010010130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.82.1
30.132.2
Auto0.5
Teleop47.3
End0.0
red by 24.0
870
#22
23.81.3
23.322.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Second
30.73.5
20.223.7
Auto0.9
Teleop29.8
End0.0
red by 16.8
28
#29
13.92.1
21.819.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
884
#25
20.33.5
8.812.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 9.1
1751
#41
11.22.1
15.913.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0