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Red119
27129.4
115645.6
501613.2
Blue38
509923.7
395027.8
87114.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7247010015011938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.62.4
39.241.6
Auto1.6
Teleop44.0
End0.0
red by 17.8
3950
#21
27.81.2
21.620.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
271
#10
29.42.4
23.225.6
Auto0.7
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 5.6
5099
#11
23.71.2
16.415.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
5016
#38
13.24.0
8.412.5
Auto0.9
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 1.6
871
#23
14.81.2
14.313.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0