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Red28
263827.6
28695.8
34606.9
Blue21
56412.3
565930.7
160110.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47470204060801002821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#14
27.60.1
27.927.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.8
End0.0
blue by 3.0
30.72.5
23.721.1
Auto0.9
Teleop29.8
End0.0
Second
3460
#47
6.90.1
9.89.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 5.3
564
#42
12.32.5
11.69.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
2869
#51
5.80.1
8.98.8
Auto0.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 4.8
1601
#26
10.62.5
16.113.5
Auto0.7
Teleop10.0
End0.0