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Red69
155410.2
362433.5
509923.7
Blue94
317147.8
445818.3
2813.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527201001502002503006994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.9
29.130.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop33.7
End0.0
blue by 14.3
47.81.1
32.233.4
Auto0.5
Teleop47.3
End0.0
Second
5099
#11
23.71.5
15.216.7
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 5.5
4458
#13
18.31.9
19.121.0
Auto0.7
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
1554
#35
10.21.5
12.514.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 3.7
28
#29
13.91.9
19.821.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0