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Red179
565930.7
56921.4
26356.3
Blue170
317147.8
32942.8
509923.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89824060100120140160179170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#4
56.34.4
52.857.2
Auto0.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 8.5
47.84.2
33.437.5
Auto0.5
Teleop47.3
End0.0
Second
30.77.3
21.128.4
Auto0.9
Teleop29.8
End0.0
blue by 12.1
329
#2
42.84.2
36.440.6
Auto7.6
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Third
569
#15
21.47.3
17.624.9
Auto0.7
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5099
#11
23.77.0
16.723.7
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0