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Red4
160110.6
456712.8
248710.9
Blue18
87023.8
5454.6
313727.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32560100150200418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4567
#37
12.82.8
16.313.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 14.3
3137
#24
27.12.5
22.520.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
2487
#39
10.92.8
7.34.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 12.9
870
#22
23.81.5
24.222.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
1601
#26
10.62.8
13.510.8
Auto0.7
Teleop10.0
End0.0
red by 6.0
545
#50
4.62.5
7.55.0
Auto0.8
Teleop3.7
End0.0