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Red76
35825.7
115645.6
445818.3
Blue19
28695.8
60111.8
56921.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101320501502007619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.9
45.544.6
Auto1.6
Teleop44.0
End0.0
red by 24.1
569
#15
21.41.9
24.922.9
Auto0.7
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Second
358
#7
25.70.9
27.626.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 13.9
601
#45
11.81.9
10.28.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
4458
#13
18.31.4
20.819.4
Auto0.7
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 12.4
2869
#51
5.81.9
9.07.0
Auto0.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0