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Red86
27129.4
5454.6
179626.1
Blue58
15379.7
26356.3
34606.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517801001502002508658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
#10
29.41.5
27.428.8
Auto0.7
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 26.9
263
#4
56.30.9
57.256.3
Auto0.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
1796
#18
26.11.5
24.626.1
Auto0.6
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 16.4
1537
#40
9.71.4
11.29.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Third
545
#50
4.62.3
5.07.2
Auto0.8
Teleop3.7
End0.0
blue by 2.4
3460
#47
6.91.4
7.96.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0