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Red0
577316.2
160011.3
40128.6
Blue43
163517.7
317125.3
54216.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24420100150200043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5773
#14
16.21.3
7.05.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 9.1
25.30.2
18.218.4
Auto0.2
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Second
1600
#41
11.31.3
9.58.2
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 6.4
17.70.2
12.012.1
Auto0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4012
#53
8.61.3
10.89.5
Auto0.0
Teleop8.5
End0.0
red by 1.8
5421
#46
6.80.2
10.710.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.8
End0.0