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Red30
376015.8
528912.7
260111.8
Blue14
57814.9
37510.4
46846.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302304060801003014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3760
#23
15.80.0
7.47.3
Auto0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 5.4
375
#45
10.40.9
12.311.3
Auto0.3
Teleop10.1
End0.0
Second
5289
#26
12.70.0
9.79.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 5.8
4684
#58
6.90.9
6.05.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.0
End0.0
Third
2601
#30
11.80.0
13.213.2
Auto0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 6.9
5781
#48
4.90.9
6.96.0
Auto0.3
Teleop4.6
End0.0