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Red34
35816.6
30598.7
139612.7
Blue78
530818.0
234424.7
376015.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363602060803478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#21
16.60.2
11.712.0
Auto0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 8.0
24.73.4
11.715.1
Auto0.3
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
1396
#13
12.70.2
13.713.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 5.3
18.03.4
15.318.7
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
3059
#42
8.70.2
11.812.0
Auto0.3
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 7.1
3760
#23
15.83.4
10.513.9
Auto0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0