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Red8
179622.3
54523.7
28957.8
Blue43
39511.6
27117.3
520213.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31301015202535404550843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#27
22.31.5
18.717.1
Auto0.4
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 5.0
271
#22
17.30.9
11.312.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Second
2895
#32
7.81.5
8.97.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 5.2
5202
#28
13.00.9
11.011.9
Auto0.0
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
5452
#56
3.71.5
4.53.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.7
End0.0
blue by 7.9
395
#31
11.60.9
9.410.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0