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Red25
22916.8
57814.9
186016.0
Blue12
4218.2
30598.7
39511.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46300204060801001202512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#16
16.81.6
19.517.9
Auto0.3
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 5.3
395
#31
11.61.7
13.211.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Second
1860
#12
16.01.6
19.117.6
Auto0.8
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 7.3
3059
#42
8.71.7
10.48.7
Auto0.3
Teleop8.4
End0.0
Third
5781
#48
4.91.6
6.44.9
Auto0.3
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 3.4
421
#43
8.21.7
9.98.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.2
End0.0