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Red86
577316.2
35816.6
11558.9
Blue61
74317.8
80615.5
36916.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2746060801001201401608661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#21
16.64.3
12.917.2
Auto0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 1.2
743
#7
17.81.8
16.318.1
Auto0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
5773
#14
16.24.3
13.017.3
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 0.2
369
#36
16.31.8
14.616.3
Auto0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
1155
#40
8.94.3
4.68.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 6.6
806
#11
15.51.8
13.515.3
Auto0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0