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Red40
35422.9
54216.8
22657.8
Blue32
81015.2
14686.4
69432.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255601001504032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#6
22.90.7
17.718.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 9.6
694
#2
32.51.2
29.228.0
Auto0.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Second
2265
#60
7.80.7
7.17.8
Auto0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 7.3
810
#24
15.21.2
16.315.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
5421
#46
6.80.7
6.16.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.8
End0.0
red by 0.4
1468
#63
6.41.2
7.66.4
Auto0.4
Teleop6.1
End0.0