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Red70
234424.7
54523.7
160011.3
Blue52
188425.5
528912.7
37113.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194501001507052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.73.6
15.919.5
Auto0.3
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 0.8
25.51.2
19.120.3
Auto0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Second
1600
#41
11.33.6
7.711.3
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 1.8
371
#17
13.21.2
12.013.2
Auto0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
5452
#56
3.73.6
0.13.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.7
End0.0
blue by 9.0
5289
#26
12.71.2
11.512.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0