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Red149
34049.2
525457.2
17424.8
Blue132
301540.9
403948.5
37832.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12811550100150200149132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.3
57.157.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.5
End0.0
red by 8.7
48.50.2
48.348.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop49.2
End0.0
Second
340
#10
49.20.3
49.149.4
Auto0.4
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
3015
#12
40.90.2
40.740.9
Auto0.8
Teleop40.1
End0.0
Third
174
#32
24.80.3
24.725.0
Auto0.4
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 7.9
378
#16
32.80.2
32.632.7
Auto0.2
Teleop32.6
End0.0