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Red120
34049.2
525457.2
17424.8
Blue123
301540.9
403948.5
37832.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12911650100150200120123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.2
57.457.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.5
End0.0
red by 8.7
48.50.0
48.548.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop49.2
End0.0
Second
340
#10
49.20.2
49.449.2
Auto0.4
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
3015
#12
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto0.8
Teleop40.1
End0.0
Third
174
#32
24.80.2
25.024.8
Auto0.4
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 7.9
378
#16
32.80.0
32.732.8
Auto0.2
Teleop32.6
End0.0