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Qual 112015 Finger Lakes Regional
Red69
34049.2
176512.4
7310.3
Blue58
403948.5
151818.2
395123.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74694060801001206958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#10
49.20.0
48.3→48.3
Auto0.4
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 0.7
4039
#8
48.50.7
41.7→41.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop49.2
End0.0
Second
1765
#37
12.40.0
12.3→12.2
Auto1.6
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 11.1
3951
#23
23.51.2
14.8→13.6
Auto0.8
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
73
#44
10.30.0
15.0→15.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 7.9
1518
#25
18.21.2
16.0→14.8
Auto0.6
Teleop17.6
End0.0