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Qual 122015 Finger Lakes Regional
Red20
534915.3
25028.2
159112.3
Blue8
158516.6
280912.5
17424.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352020406080100120208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#21
28.21.6
23.5→21.9
Auto1.6
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 3.4
174
#32
24.84.0
21.0→17.0
Auto0.4
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
5349
#41
15.32.7
16.1→13.4
Auto0.8
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
1585
#35
16.64.0
12.2→8.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
1591
#39
12.32.7
12.6→10.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 0.1
2809
#42
12.54.0
23.3→19.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0