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Red90
166023.3
155930.5
409315.6
Blue134
226516.0
503045.5
222845.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4391015020025090134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#15
30.53.1
23.226.4
Auto0.3
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 15.2
45.72.6
35.738.3
Auto0.2
Teleop45.5
End0.0
Second
1660
#22
23.32.5
19.722.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 22.2
45.52.4
38.040.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Third
4093
#33
15.63.1
9.412.5
Auto1.5
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 0.4
2265
#31
16.03.2
12.916.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0