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Red0
151818.2
534915.3
23409.9
Blue16
158516.6
7310.3
57831.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35430100200300400500016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1518
#25Sur
18.22.2
14.812.7
Auto0.6
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 13.7
578
#7
31.91.4
20.118.7
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
5349
#41
15.32.2
13.411.2
Auto0.8
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
1585
#35Sur
16.62.3
8.15.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
2340
#43
9.91.3
9.68.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 0.5
73
#44
10.32.3
15.012.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0