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Red132
74317.9
155118.2
525457.2
Blue48
559024.2
543310.0
315726.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions883105010015020025013248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.22.5
38.941.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.5
End0.0
red by 30.8
3157
#17
26.50.6
17.217.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Second
1551
#30
18.24.2
19.623.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 6.0
5590
#19Sur
24.20.6
13.213.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
743
#40
17.93.1
23.526.5
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 7.9
5433
#45
10.00.6
10.611.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0