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Red126
112643.8
450530.2
155118.2
Blue50
115517.7
176512.4
280912.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions693805010015012650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.83.0
24.527.5
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 26.1
1155
#29
17.70.3
13.413.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
4505
#13
30.23.0
21.924.8
Auto0.6
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 17.7
2809
#42
12.50.5
17.317.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
1551
#30
18.25.0
20.125.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 5.8
1765
#37
12.40.5
13.013.5
Auto1.6
Teleop10.7
End0.0