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Red83
150751.6
403948.5
74317.9
Blue100
503045.5
140532.8
379919.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087905015020083100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.2
42.841.6
Auto6.8
Teleop44.7
End0.0
red by 6.1
45.51.0
41.942.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
48.51.2
40.739.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop49.2
End0.0
red by 15.7
1405
#11
32.81.6
28.029.6
Auto1.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
743
#40
17.91.2
23.622.4
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3799
#27
19.21.6
16.618.2
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0