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Red32
176512.4
543310.0
301540.9
Blue96
383832.2
150751.6
57831.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618901502002503296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#12
40.91.8
39.037.3
Auto0.8
Teleop40.1
End0.0
blue by 10.7
51.60.4
41.642.0
Auto6.8
Teleop44.7
End0.0
Second
1765
#37
12.43.0
13.510.6
Auto1.6
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 19.9
3838
#14
32.20.7
27.227.9
Auto2.0
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
5433
#45
10.03.0
15.112.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 21.9
578
#7
31.90.4
18.719.1
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0