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Red100
140532.8
37832.8
17424.8
Blue60
315726.5
395123.5
409315.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions703405010015010060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#11
32.82.8
29.632.4
Auto1.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 6.4
3157
#17
26.51.6
18.119.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Second
378
#16
32.81.7
22.524.2
Auto0.2
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 9.3
3951
#23
23.51.6
13.415.0
Auto0.8
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
174
#32
24.82.8
14.617.4
Auto0.4
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 9.2
4093
#33
15.61.6
9.611.1
Auto1.5
Teleop14.1
End0.0