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Red111
379919.2
525457.2
2034.0
Blue30
145016.0
25028.2
559024.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11043015020011130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.4
44.344.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.5
End0.0
red by 29.0
250
#21
28.21.3
24.323.1
Auto1.6
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Second
20
#28
34.00.4
42.743.0
Auto0.4
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 9.8
5590
#19
24.22.1
17.415.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
3799
#27
19.20.6
16.817.4
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
1450
#38
16.01.3
13.712.4
Auto0.0
Teleop16.0
End0.0