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Red86
151818.2
150751.6
300344.0
Blue4
39518.3
166023.3
74317.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8263050100150864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.5
42.042.5
Auto6.8
Teleop44.7
End0.0
red by 28.3
1660
#22
23.33.2
26.223.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
44.00.5
30.831.3
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End0.0
red by 25.7
395
#34
18.33.2
18.515.3
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
1518
#25
18.20.8
9.310.1
Auto0.6
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 0.3
743
#40
17.93.2
23.520.3
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0