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Red64
39518.3
155930.5
280912.5
Blue91
74317.9
140532.8
559024.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6159203040507080906491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#15
30.50.1
28.528.5
Auto0.3
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 2.4
1405
#11
32.82.3
25.627.9
Auto1.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
395
#34
18.30.1
15.315.3
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 5.9
5590
#19
24.22.3
15.317.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
2809
#42
12.50.1
19.219.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 5.4
743
#40
17.91.5
20.321.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0